Description

This analysis provides a forecast of THETA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.644977 0.735814 0.834646 0.950138 1.081383 1.225881 1.397044
2025-04-06 0.486701 0.606771 0.749068 0.930052 1.154084 1.422311 1.767951
2025-04-13 0.390896 0.519038 0.680394 0.898314 1.184879 1.548880 2.046616
2025-04-20 0.355288 0.496605 0.683545 0.948639 1.314764 1.802648 2.502614
2025-04-27 0.326486 0.477140 0.685139 0.992832 1.436221 2.052042 2.972991
2025-05-04 0.301749 0.458962 0.684491 1.030987 1.549611 2.297061 3.457038
2025-05-11 0.275031 0.433941 0.670055 1.045612 1.627609 2.495241 3.888087
2025-05-18 0.243705 0.397903 0.634647 1.023583 1.646145 2.603920 4.190661
2025-05-25 0.219084 0.369357 0.607260 1.010108 1.674749 2.727753 4.524297
2025-06-01 0.200335 0.348103 0.588889 1.008397 1.720494 2.880256 4.914305
2025-06-08 0.185291 0.331322 0.575882 1.013623 1.776959 3.053077 5.350396
2025-06-15 0.173026 0.317961 0.567102 1.024656 1.843268 3.246221 5.835350
2025-06-22 0.156364 0.295416 0.540848 1.003487 1.852968 3.345875 6.171045
2025-06-29 0.141513 0.274692 0.515903 0.982287 1.860594 3.442416 6.509911
2025-07-06 0.126692 0.252454 0.485995 0.948789 1.841930 3.488972 6.759249
2025-07-13 0.124612 0.254477 0.501337 1.001904 1.990286 3.853666 7.635927
2025-07-20 0.121739 0.254594 0.512922 1.048545 2.129819 4.212358 8.530529
2025-07-27 0.118240 0.253059 0.521035 1.088813 2.259887 4.562606 9.437008
2025-08-03 0.112308 0.245877 0.517156 1.104248 2.340906 4.822419 10.182593
2025-08-10 0.103044 0.230714 0.495600 1.080999 2.339996 4.917441 10.597070
2025-08-17 0.095486 0.218503 0.479075 1.066778 2.356480 5.048559 11.096683
2025-08-24 0.089688 0.209616 0.468791 1.064973 2.399062 5.236584 11.731823
2025-08-31 0.084959 0.202690 0.462135 1.070488 2.457898 5.463197 12.468674